Pre-tourney Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#130
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#109
Pace68.5#218
Improvement+1.1#135

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#190
First Shot-2.2#241
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#79
Layup/Dunks-1.1#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#130
Freethrows-2.1#306
Improvement+1.5#112

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#93
First Shot+1.8#119
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#54
Layups/Dunks+1.7#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#102
Freethrows-1.6#276
Improvement-0.3#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2015 174   @ Murray St. L 65-76 51%     0 - 1 -8.8 -12.9 +4.9
  Nov 21, 2015 167   @ Tennessee St. W 69-66 50%     1 - 1 +5.4 -0.9 +6.3
  Nov 27, 2015 125   UNC Asheville W 63-61 49%     2 - 1 +4.7 -3.0 +7.8
  Nov 28, 2015 128   Toledo W 78-70 50%     3 - 1 +10.5 +10.4 +0.6
  Dec 02, 2015 35   Virginia Commonwealth L 56-62 27%     3 - 2 +2.8 -15.0 +18.2
  Dec 05, 2015 265   @ South Alabama W 68-55 71%     4 - 2 +9.5 -3.3 +12.7
  Dec 12, 2015 180   Auburn W 88-81 OT 73%     5 - 2 +3.1 +3.1 -0.9
  Dec 17, 2015 138   Belmont W 83-62 63%     6 - 2 +20.0 -3.9 +21.8
  Dec 22, 2015 198   @ Georgia St. L 62-64 56%     6 - 3 -1.3 -5.5 +4.1
  Dec 27, 2015 95   South Dakota St. L 61-65 37%     6 - 4 +1.8 -13.7 +15.8
  Jan 03, 2016 117   @ UAB L 67-78 36%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -4.9 +0.3 -5.8
  Jan 07, 2016 222   UTEP W 78-72 80%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -0.5 +1.1 -1.6
  Jan 09, 2016 339   Texas San Antonio W 79-71 95%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -8.7 -4.8 -4.0
  Jan 14, 2016 195   @ Charlotte W 73-72 56%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +1.8 +4.0 -2.1
  Jan 16, 2016 118   @ Old Dominion W 64-61 36%     10 - 5 4 - 1 +9.0 +5.3 +4.2
  Jan 21, 2016 290   North Texas W 86-64 90%     11 - 5 5 - 1 +10.6 +0.6 +8.4
  Jan 23, 2016 277   Rice W 87-73 88%     12 - 5 6 - 1 +3.6 -1.3 +4.0
  Jan 28, 2016 150   @ Marshall L 66-82 45%     12 - 6 6 - 2 -12.2 -15.3 +4.7
  Jan 30, 2016 181   @ Western Kentucky W 66-64 52%     13 - 6 7 - 2 +3.9 -8.3 +12.2
  Feb 04, 2016 301   Florida Atlantic W 85-73 91%     14 - 6 8 - 2 -0.1 +3.6 -4.4
  Feb 06, 2016 236   Florida International W 67-66 82%     15 - 6 9 - 2 -6.5 -5.2 -1.2
  Feb 11, 2016 161   @ Louisiana Tech L 63-73 48%     15 - 7 9 - 3 -7.0 -11.4 +4.9
  Feb 13, 2016 302   @ Southern Miss W 76-54 80%     16 - 7 10 - 3 +15.7 +12.5 +6.7
  Feb 21, 2016 117   UAB L 67-77 58%     16 - 8 10 - 4 -9.7 +1.3 -12.2
  Feb 25, 2016 181   Western Kentucky L 72-78 73%     16 - 9 10 - 5 -9.9 +0.6 -11.1
  Feb 27, 2016 150   Marshall W 83-74 67%     17 - 9 11 - 5 +6.9 +3.3 +3.4
  Mar 03, 2016 301   @ Florida Atlantic W 76-59 79%     18 - 9 12 - 5 +10.7 +1.7 +8.9
  Mar 05, 2016 236   @ Florida International W 61-58 65%     19 - 9 13 - 5 +1.4 -4.7 +6.5
  Mar 10, 2016 195   Charlotte W 79-61 67%     20 - 9 +15.9 -2.0 +16.7
  Mar 11, 2016 150   Marshall W 99-90 56%     21 - 9 +9.9 +9.5 -0.9
  Mar 12, 2016 118   Old Dominion W 55-53 47%     22 - 9 +5.1 -11.7 +17.0
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.0 0.1 7.2 81.2 11.5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.1 7.2 81.2 11.5